I don't like the hook, I'd bet 11 but NOT 12
Every team is vulnerable every year, the best you can hope for is to me in the mix and the Patriots will be in the mix
The running game carried a ton more weight in 2018, especially the post season, I expect that trend to continue. The defense was also pretty dominant in the post season, I think they to will be pretty good in 2019.
Belichick has won differently over the years, I trust he'll find a way to compete
PS: Yes, Brady is past his prime, I still wouldn't trade him for anybody